Fieldwork Period Polling Firm Commissioner(s) Sample Size NAT LAB GRN ACT NZ First TPM TOP NZOFP NZL NCP Other
2025-07-01 – 2025-07-10 Talbot Mills 1090 32% 35% 12% 8% 7% 3.8%
2025-07-02 – 2025-07-06 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 33.9% 31.6% 9.4% 9.1% 9.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.9%
2025-05-26 – 2025-06-22 Roy Morgan 812 32% 28.5% 11% 11.5% 8% 5% 3% 1%
2025-06-12 – 2025-06-15 Freshwater Strategy The Post 1150 32% 34% 11% 8% 8% 2% 4%
2025-06-07 – 2025-06-09 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 33.5% 34.8% 8.2% 9.1% 6.1% 3.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.7% 1.4%
2025-05-23 – 2025-05-30 Reid Research RNZ 1008 30.7% 33.2% 11.6% 6.6% 9.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3%
2025-05-24 – 2025-05-28 Verian 1News 1002 34% 29% 12% 8% 8% 3.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 2.4%
2025-04-28 – 2025-05-25 Roy Morgan 799 31.5% 29% 11.5% 12% 6.5% 4.5% 3% 2%
2025-04-30 – 2025-05-04 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 34.6% 33.2% 9.1% 9.5% 7.4% 3.9% 0.5% 0.4% 1.4%
2025-03-24 – 2025-04-20 Roy Morgan 829 31% 28.5% 14% 9% 9% 4.5% 2.5% 1.5%
2025-03-29 – 2025-04-02 Verian 1News 1000 36% 32% 10% 9% 7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.4%
2025-03-29 – 2025-04-01 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 33.5% 29.8% 11% 10% 7.4% 4.3% 1.5% 1% 0.4%
2025-03-21 – 2025-03-27 Reid Research RNZ 1000 32.9% 32.3% 10% 9.4% 7.2% 5% 1.8%
2025-02-24 – 2025-03-23 Roy Morgan 888 32.5% 27.5% 14.5% 7.5% 7% 5.5% 4% 1.5%
2025-03-01 – 2025-03-10 Talbot Mills 1003 31% 34% 10% 10% 6.1% 4.4%
2025-03-02 – 2025-03-04 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 33.6% 34.1% 10% 7.7% 5.1% 6.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.9%
2025-01-27 – 2025-02-23 Roy Morgan 888 30.5% 29% 15.5% 11% 6% 3% 2.5% 2.5%
2025-02-03 – 2025-02-07 Verian 1News 1002 34% 33% 10% 9% 5% 3.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2% 3.1%
2025-02-02 – 2025-02-04 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 31.9% 31.3% 13.2% 10% 6.4% 4.4% 0.5% 0.9% 0.2% 1.1%
2025-01-07 – 2025-01-27 Talbot Mills 1049 33% 34% 12% 9% 5.2% 4.6%
2025-01-02 – 2025-01-26 Roy Morgan 885 32.5% 28.5% 11.5% 9% 8.5% 6.5% 1.5% 2%
2025-01-09 – 2025-01-13 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 29.6% 30.9% 9.5% 10.8% 8.1% 5.3% 2.1% 1.7% 2.0%
2024-11-25 – 2024-12-15 Roy Morgan 885 31% 26% 13.5% 13% 7.5% 5.5% 1% 2.5%
2024-11-30 – 2024-12-04 Verian 1News 1006 37% 29% 10% 8% 6% 7% 1.5% 0.4% 1.6%
2024-12-01 – 2024-12-03 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 34.2% 26.9% 8.3% 13% 5.4% 5.5% 1.1% 2.0% 0.2%
2024-11-26 – 2024-11-27 Freshwater Strategy The Post 1150 34% 31% 13% 8% 6% 4%
2024-10-28 – 2024-11-24 Roy Morgan 866 28.5% 28% 13.5% 9% 6.5% 9% 3.5% 2%
2024-11-06 – 2024-11-10 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 38.8% 31.5% 9.3% 8.5% 6.5% 2.5% 0.9% 2.1%
2024-11-01 – 2024-11-10 Talbot Mills 34% 33% 10% 10% 7% 3.3%
2024-09-23 – 2024-10-20 Roy Morgan 883 31% 29% 14% 9% 7% 5% 2% 3%
2024-10-05 – 2024-10-09 Verian 1News 1000 37% 29% 12% 8% 5% 3.8% 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 1.9%
2024-10-03 – 2024-10-07 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 34.9% 30.3% 10.4% 9.7% 7.6% 3% 2.5% 1.6%
2024-08-26 – 2024-09-22 Roy Morgan 902 37.5% 23% 14% 10% 7.5% 4% 2.5% 1.5%
2024-09-01 – 2024-09-10 Talbot Mills 37% 32% 10% 8% 6.1% 3.9%
2024-09-08 – 2024-09-10 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 39% 26.7% 11% 8.8% 6.8% 5% 1.1% 2.4%
2024-07-29 – 2024-08-25 Roy Morgan 898 36% 26.5% 13% 9.5% 7.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5%
2024-08-10 – 2024-08-14 Verian 1News 1001 38% 30% 11% 7% 6% 4.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.5% 2.2%
2024-06-24 – 2024-07-21 Roy Morgan 930 32.5% 24% 14% 11% 6.5% 6% 4.5% 1.5%
2024-07-04 – 2024-07-08 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 37.6% 25.9% 12.5% 9.1% 7.3% 3.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.8%
2024-05-27 – 2024-06-23 Roy Morgan 930 35% 27.5% 14.5% 9% 5.5% 3.5% 2.5% 2.5%
2024-06-15 – 2024-06-19 Verian 1News 1002 38% 29% 13% 7% 6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 1.6%
2024-06-04 – 2024-06-06 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 35.4% 29.4% 12.7% 9.7% 5.6% 4.0% 0.8% 1.3% 0.1% 1.0%
2024-04-22 – 2024-05-19 Roy Morgan 925 33.5% 30% 14% 9.5% 5.5% 3% 3% 1.5%
2024-05-01 – 2024-05-10 Talbot Mills 35% 32%
2024-05-05 – 2024-05-07 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 37.3% 30% 10.2% 9.4% 5.5% 3.1% 1.4% 1.1% 2.0%
2024-04-20 – 2024-04-24 Verian 1News 1000 36% 30% 14% 7% 4.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 2.5%
2024-03-25 – 2024-04-21 Roy Morgan 934 36.5% 24.5% 13% 11% 5.5% 5.5% 2% 2%
2024-04-02 – 2024-04-04 Curia Taxpayers’ Union 1000 37.1% 25.7% 14.6% 7.2% 6.3% 4.6% 1.6% 1.5% 0.2% 1.3%
2024-02-26 – 2024-03-24 Roy Morgan 931 38% 23% 13.5% 11.5% 6.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1%
2024-03-01 – 2024-03-10 Talbot Mills ≥1000 38% 28% 14% 8% 6%