Fieldwork Period	Polling Firm	Commissioner(s)	Sample Size	LAB	NAT	GRN	NZ First	ACT	TOP	TPM	NZOFP	NZL	CPNZ	Alliance	Other
2026-10-08 – 2026-10-12	Verian	1News	1007	28%	28%	15%	10%	10%	8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.2%	—	0.2%	—
2026-10-01 – 2026-10-05	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	28.2%	28.5%	13.3%	12%	9.2%	4.8%	1.4%	—	0.3%	0.3%	—	—
2026-10-01 – 2026-10-05	Verian	1News	1001	28%	29%	16%	10%	9%	7%	0.6%	—	0.5%	—	—	—
2026-09-25 – 2026-10-01	Reid Research	RNZ	1000	30.8%	25.9%	14.8%	10.6%	9%	5.5%	2%	—	—	—	—	0.7%
2026-09-23 – 2026-09-27	Verian	1News	1004	28%	28%	16%	9%	11%	6%	1.2%	0.3%	—	0.2%	—	0.5%
2026-08-31 – 2026-09-27	Roy Morgan	—	859	23.5%	31%	16%	10%	11%	6.5%	2%	—	—	—	—	0%
2026-09-04 – 2026-09-11	Freshwater Strategy	The Post	1011	28%	27%	14%	13%	9%	6%	2%	—	—	—	—	2%
2026-09-04 – 2026-09-10	Anacta	—	1701	31%	30%	14%	10%	8%	7%	2%	—	—	—	—	—
2026-09-01 – 2026-09-03	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	25.9%	29%	13.9%	8.4%	10.5%	4.5%	2%	0.4%	1.5%	0.5%	—	—
2026-07-27 – 2026-08-23	Roy Morgan	—	858	24%	31%	15.5%	7.5%	10.5%	9.5%	1.5%	—	—	—	—	0.5%
2026-08-14 – 2026-08-21	Reid Research	RNZ	1000	32.2%	29.1%	10.2%	11.9%	7.7%	5.3%	3%	—	—	—	—	0.2%
2026-08-08 – 2026-08-11	Verian	1News	847	30%	29%	12%	8%	9%	8%	1%	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%	—	—
2026-08-01 – 2026-08-11	Talbot Mills	—	—	34%	29%	8%	13%	7%	5%	3%	—	—	—	—	—
2026-08-01 – 2026-08-04	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	27.8%	31%	10.1%	9.1%	7.3%	6.1%	1.5%	0.1%	—	0.4%	—	—
2026-06-29 – 2026-07-26	Roy Morgan	—	881	25.5%	32%	13.5%	8.5%	8.5%	8%	2%	—	—	—	—	2%
2026-07-10 – 2026-07-19	Talbot Mills	—	—	33%	31%	9%	12%	7%	4.7%	3%	—	—	—	—	—
2026-07-02 – 2026-07-09	Reid Research	RNZ	1000	34%	28.7%	10.3%	11.5%	7.8%	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	—	—	0.7%
2026-07-01 – 2026-07-05	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	31.5%	30.5%	10.4%	10.8%	6.9%	3.3%	3.4%	0.8%	—	0.4%	—	2.0%
2026-05-25 – 2026-06-21	Roy Morgan	—	891	25.5%	31%	13.5%	10.5%	9.5%	6.5%	3%	—	—	—	—	0.5%
2026-06-13 – 2026-06-17	Verian	1News	1001	32%	29%	13%	11%	6%	4.6%	1.8%	0.2%	—	0.3%	—	1.0%
2026-06-05 – 2026-06-11	Freshwater Strategy	The Post	1038	35%	29%	10%	12%	8%	—	2%	—	—	—	—	3%
2026-06-01 – 2026-06-10	Talbot Mills	—	1021	34%	29%	13%	12%	6%	3.3%	2.6%	—	—	—	—	—
2026-06-04 – 2026-06-08	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	32.2%	30.1%	11.5%	11.4%	7.8%	3.2%	3.1%	0.3%	—	0.2%	—	0.3%
2026-04-27 – 2026-05-24	Roy Morgan	—	870	26.5%	30.5%	12.5%	11%	10%	6%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	1%
2026-05-01 – 2026-05-10	Talbot Mills	—	—	36%	29%	9%	14%	7%	—	2%	—	—	—	—	3%
2026-05-03 – 2026-05-07	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	31.9%	30%	9.7%	11.7%	6.5%	2.8%	4.1%	0.5%	—	0.8%	—	2.0%
2026-03-30 – 2026-04-26	Roy Morgan	—	887	34%	25.5%	11%	11.5%	10.5%	4%	3%	—	—	—	—	0.5%
2026-04-16	Talbot Mills	—	1082	36%	29%	7%	15%	8%	2.3%	1.9%	—	—	—	—	—
2026-04-11 – 2026-04-15	Verian	1News	1010	37%	30%	11%	10%	7%	3.3%	1.5%	0.3%	—	0.5%	—	0.4%
2026-04-01 – 2026-04-02	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	33.4%	29.8%	7.8%	13.6%	9%	2.6%	2.6%	—	—	—	—	1.3%
2026-04-01 – 2026-04-02	Talbot Mills	—	1082	36%	29%	7%	15%	8%	2.3%	1.9%	—	—	—	—	—
2026-02-23 – 2026-03-22	Roy Morgan	—	872	34%	26.5%	11%	11%	10%	4%	3%	—	—	—	—	0.5%
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-20	Reid Research	RNZ	1000	35.6%	30.8%	10.1%	10.6%	7%	2%	3.2%	—	—	—	—	0.7%
2026-03-02 – 2026-03-12	Talbot Mills	—	1059	35%	32%	11%	11%	7%	2.4%	1.7%	—	—	—	—	—
2026-03-01 – 2026-03-03	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	34.4%	28.4%	10.5%	9.7%	7.5%	1.9%	3.2%	1.7%	—	0.8%	—	1.8%
2026-01-27 – 2026-02-22	Roy Morgan	—	870	30%	31%	14.5%	9.5%	8%	4%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	0.5%
2026-02-06 – 2026-02-12	Freshwater Strategy	Infrastructure New Zealand–The Post	1039	37%	30%	10%	11%	6%	—	2%	—	—	—	—	3%
2026-02-07 – 2026-02-11	Verian	1News	1003	32%	34%	11%	10%	9%	1%	2%	0.2%	—	0.2%	—	1.3%
2026-02-01 – 2026-02-03	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	34.1%	31.3%	10.3%	10.5%	6.7%	1.4%	2.9%	1.2%	—	0.1%	—	1.5%
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-26	Roy Morgan	—	881	30.5%	34.5%	10.5%	9%	8.5%	2.5%	3%	—	—	—	—	1.5%
2026-01-16 – 2026-01-26	Talbot Mills	—	1087	35%	31%	10%	9%	8%	—	3%	—	—	—	—	—
2026-01-15 – 2026-01-22	Reid Research	RNZ	1000	35%	31.9%	9.6%	9.8%	7.6%	2.3%	3%	—	—	—	—	0.9%
2026-01-14 – 2026-01-18	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	34.4%	31.5%	7.7%	11.9%	7%	0.7%	3%	0.6%	—	0.3%	—	2.9%
2025-11-24 – 2025-12-21	Roy Morgan	—	859	32.5%	33%	12%	10%	7.5%	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	—	—	0%
2025-12-05 – 2025-12-10	Freshwater Strategy	Infrastructure New Zealand–The Post	1031	38%	30%	8%	9%	8%	—	2%	—	—	—	—	4%
2025-12-03 – 2025-12-07	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	31.6%	30%	10.8%	8.1%	8.9%	1.6%	3.1%	1%	—	1%	—	4.0%
2025-11-29 – 2025-12-03	Verian	1News	1007	35%	36%	7%	9%	10%	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%	—	0.1%	—	1.9%
2025-10-27 – 2025-11-23	Roy Morgan	—	829	28%	33%	14.5%	9%	8%	2.5%	2%	—	—	—	—	3%
2025-11-01 – 2025-11-10	Talbot Mills	—	1102	38%	33%	9%	8%	7%	—	2.4%	—	—	—	—	—
2025-11-02 – 2025-11-06	Curia	Taxpayers’ Union	1000	33.3%	30.2%	9.2%	9.1%	8.6%	1.2%	3.3%	1.5%	—	1.2%	—	2.4%