40 MINUTES
Group Activity
JMSS-Style STEM Group Challenge

Outbreak Detectives Challenge

Can your team identify the likely cause of a mystery illness at a school science fair and recommend a safe, evidence-based response?
Data analysisDecision-makingEthics and communicationBudget: $18,000Team presentation: 3 minutes

Scenario

Mystery at the Science Fair

On Monday morning, several students report stomach cramps, nausea and fever after Friday’s science fair. The school must respond quickly, but the cause is uncertain. Your team is the emergency investigation panel.

Your challenge: Use the evidence provided to decide the most likely source of illness, recommend an action plan within budget, protect student safety, and communicate without causing panic.

Important: This is a simulated educational activity. You are not diagnosing real patients. You are practising evidence-based reasoning, teamwork and decision-making.

Your Task

  1. Analyse the data tables and identify the most likely source of illness.
  2. Choose the best combination of actions within the $18,000 budget.
  3. Explain your reasoning using evidence, not guesses.
  4. Consider ethics: safety, fairness, communication, privacy and uncertainty.
  5. Prepare a 3-minute group presentation with all members contributing.
Key twist: The highest immediate-impact option may not be best overall. Balance evidence strength, urgency, cost, prevention and public trust.

Suggested Group Roles

Facilitator

Keeps the team focused, includes quieter members and checks time.

Data Analyst

Interprets symptom, attendance and exposure data.

Evidence Checker

Looks for contradictions, uncertainty and alternative explanations.

Ethics Adviser

Checks privacy, fairness, communication and safety.

Presenter

Organises the final 3-minute presentation with transitions.

Budget Manager

Tracks action costs and keeps the plan under $18,000.

Evidence Pack

A. Timeline

TimeEvent
Friday 11:30 am–1:30 pmScience fair with food stalls, plant-growing display, chemistry demo and sports hall activities.
Friday 2:00 pmWater refill station near Hall B reported low pressure for 20 minutes.
Saturday eveningFirst student reports stomach cramps and nausea.
SundayMore students report symptoms.
Monday morningSchool leadership requests investigation and response plan.

B. Symptom Survey — 120 science fair attendees

GroupNumber of studentsReported symptomsAttack rate
Ate chicken wraps382463%
Ate vegetarian sushi31826%
Ate fruit cups29517%
Drank from Hall B refill station521733%
Attended chemistry demo only44614%
No food, no Hall B water2229%

C. Symptom Patterns

SymptomNumber affectedNotes
Nausea31Common among affected students
Stomach cramps28Often began 18–30 hours after fair
Fever18Mild to moderate
Cough / breathing irritation3Not common
Skin rash1Likely unrelated

D. Inspection Notes

Location / itemObservationRisk signal
Chicken wrap stallTemperature log missing between 10:45 am and 12:15 pm. Leftover chicken container found at 14°C.High
Vegetarian sushi stallFood prepared offsite. No temperature issue recorded.Medium
Fruit cup stallGloves used. Fruit kept chilled.Low
Hall B water stationLow pressure incident. No visible contamination. Routine test last month was clear.Medium
Chemistry demoVinegar/bicarbonate and colour indicators used. No harmful fumes reported.Low

E. Quick Test Results

SampleRapid bacteria indicatorFollow-up lab result?Confidence
Leftover chickenPositiveIn 48 hoursModerate-high
Hall B water stationNegativeIn 48 hoursModerate
Vegetarian sushi sampleNegativeIn 48 hoursModerate
Fruit cup sampleNegativeIn 48 hoursModerate

F. Community Survey — Parent Concerns

ConcernPercentage of 180 parent responses
Clear communication from school42%
Preventing future incidents31%
Finding exact cause immediately17%
Keeping the science fair running next year10%

Action Options

Choose any combination, but total cost must be $18,000 or less.

ActionCostBenefitLimitations
Immediate food-safety audit and retraining$4,000Targets likely food-handling issue and prevents recurrence.Does not provide medical follow-up.
Independent lab testing of all food and water samples$5,500Improves evidence confidence and protects fairness.Results take 48 hours.
Temporary closure of chicken wrap supplier pending results$1,000Fast risk reduction if chicken is source.Could be unfair if stated as blame before confirmation.
School health information hotline / nurse triage day$3,500Supports affected students and reduces panic.Does not identify source.
Water-system inspection and precautionary flushing$3,000Addresses parent concerns and medium-risk water incident.Data currently points more strongly to food.
Public blame statement naming the chicken stall$500Very fast communication.Ethically risky before confirmation; may damage trust.
Updated science fair safety plan for next year$2,500Long-term prevention, food logs, checklist and emergency communication.Not enough alone for immediate response.
Cancel all future science fairs$2,000Eliminates event risk.Extreme; loses educational value and does not solve process problem.
Parent communication pack with uncertainty explained$1,500Clear, honest communication; explains evidence and next steps.Must be carefully worded to avoid panic or blame.
Student handwashing and safe-food campaign$2,000Supports prevention and student responsibility.Lower immediate impact than testing and audit.

Student Working Template

1. Most likely cause

Our team thinks the most likely cause is:

________________________________________

Evidence:

  1. __________________________________
  2. __________________________________
  3. __________________________________

2. Alternative explanations

What else could explain the illness?

  1. __________________________________
  2. __________________________________

Why is this less likely?

________________________________________

3. Action plan

ActionCostWhy chosen?

Total cost: $______________

4. Ethical communication

How will you communicate without blaming too early?

________________________________________

What uncertainty remains?

________________________________________

Presentation Structure — 3 Minutes

SpeakerFocusSuggested sentence starter
1Problem and key evidence“Our team investigated a possible illness cluster after the science fair...”
2Data interpretation“The strongest evidence is the attack rate data...”
3Recommended action plan and budget“Our plan costs ___ and includes...”
4Ethics, uncertainty and communication“We are avoiding blame before confirmation because...”
5Conclusion“Overall, our plan is strongest because...”

Transitions

Student Scoring Guide — 30 Marks

CriteriaExcellent 5–6Good 3–4Developing 1–2Score
Data analysisUses multiple data sources, compares attack rates, considers uncertainty.Uses some data but may miss uncertainty.Relies mostly on guesses or one clue./6
Decision qualityPlan is practical, balanced, under budget and justified.Mostly practical but misses one key element.Unclear, over budget or poorly connected to evidence./6
Ethical reasoningConsiders safety, privacy, fairness, uncertainty and communication.Mentions ethics but not deeply.Blames too early or ignores affected people./6
TeamworkAll students contribute, listen and build on ideas.Most students contribute.One person dominates or group lacks coordination./6
PresentationClear, structured, evidence-based and within time.Understandable but may lack flow or transitions.Disorganised or not clearly supported by evidence./6
High-scoring target: 24–30. Show evidence → decision → ethics → conclusion.