BAC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BAC Report EPS BEAT pred ~$1.15 vs. cons $1.12 MEDIUM
BAC Report Net Interest Income (NII, FTE) BEAT pred ~$16.30B vs. cons $16.1B MEDIUM
BAC Report Total Revenue BEAT pred ~$30.9B vs. cons $30.56B MEDIUM
BAC Guide FY2026 NII growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~7% vs. cons ~7% (FY2026, prior range 6-8%) MEDIUM
BAC Guide Operating leverage target UNCHANGED guide ~250bps vs. cons ~240bps (FY2026, prior 200-300bps range) LOW
BAC Guide CET1 ratio / capital buffer commentary UNCHANGED guide ~11.2% vs. cons ~11.2% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
BAC Guide Buyback pace BETTER guide ~$7.5B vs. cons ~$7.0B (Q3 2026 repurchases) LOW
BAC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.4% MEDIUM
BAC Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.8% (FADE) Stock is near all-time highs with a very high bar already priced in (25% EPS growth, 9%+ NII growth consensus); a modest headline beat with guidance merely reiterated (not raised, unlike Q1) offers little fresh upside catalyst. Management has explicitly flagged that H2 2026 NII comps get tougher as last year's fixed-asset repricing benefit was H2-weighted, so analysts are likely to trim out-quarter NII/EPS growth rates even after an in-line-to-modest Q2 beat, causing an initial pop to fade over the following days as revisions normalize forward estimates. LOW