BAC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BAC Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.17 vs. cons $1.13 MEDIUM
BAC Report FTE net interest income BEAT pred ~$16.3B vs. cons $16.1B HIGH
BAC Report Sales and trading revenue ex-DVA BEAT pred ~$6.8B vs. cons $6.6B MEDIUM
BAC Guide FY2026 NII growth UNCHANGED guide ~7.0% vs. cons 7.0% (FY2026) HIGH
BAC Guide FY2026 positive operating leverage BETTER guide ~250 bps vs. cons 225 bps (FY2026) MEDIUM
BAC Guide FY2026 effective tax rate UNCHANGED guide ~20.5% vs. cons 20.5% (FY2026) HIGH
BAC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
BAC Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) The reported beat is driven by ~$0.04 of EPS upside and ~$0.2B of NII upside, but retained ~7.0% FY2026 NII growth guidance versus ~7.0% consensus leaves little reason to lift FY2027 estimates. With the stock already priced for durable operating leverage, initial strength should fade as investors focus on unchanged out-period NII and funding-cost assumptions. MEDIUM