BLK Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-15

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BLK Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$13.12 vs. cons $12.84 MEDIUM
BLK Report Long-term net inflows BEAT pred ~$155B vs. cons $128B MEDIUM
BLK Report Adjusted operating margin IN-LINE pred ~44.8% vs. cons 44.6% MEDIUM
BLK Guide Adjusted effective tax-rate framework UNCHANGED guide ~25.0% vs. cons 25.0% (2H 2026) HIGH
BLK Guide Quarterly share-repurchase pace UNCHANGED guide ~$450M vs. cons $450M (3Q 2026) HIGH
BLK Guide Technology-services ACV growth commentary BETTER guide ~14.0% vs. cons 12.0% (FY 2026) MEDIUM
BLK Guide Long-term adjusted operating-margin target UNCHANGED guide ~45.0% vs. cons 45.0% (long term) MEDIUM
BLK Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.2% MEDIUM
BLK Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.8% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Day-5 residual ~4.8% vs. day-1 residual ~3.2%: a recurring-fee/flow-led beat, stable ~45% margin framework, and stronger technology ACV should lift 2026-2027 base-fee and EPS estimates rather than leave upside dependent on volatile performance fees. MEDIUM