BLK Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-15

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BLK Report Organic Base Fee Growth (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~1.55% qtrly vs. cons ~1.36% qtrly (VA, Jul 14 2026) MEDIUM
BLK Report Total Net Flows (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$178B vs. cons $189.7B (VA, Jul 14 2026) MEDIUM
BLK Report Diluted EPS - Operating (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$13.15 vs. cons $12.69 (VA, Jul 14 2026) HIGH
BLK Guide Organic BFG Target (FY2026) BETTER guide 6-7% reaffirm vs. cons ~5.1% annualized (VA, Jul 14 2026) HIGH
BLK Guide Operating Margin (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide >=45% reaffirm vs. cons implied ~45.1% (VA, Jul 14 2026) HIGH
BLK Guide Private Markets Tone (FY2026) BETTER positive pipeline update; no formal raise vs. no prior formal guide MEDIUM
BLK Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.0% MEDIUM
BLK Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FADE) FADE - flows miss pulls near-term estimates slightly lower; initial gap partially gives back over days 2-5 as sell-side trims Q3 flows models MEDIUM