C Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
C Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.80 vs. cons $2.72 MEDIUM
C Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$23.85B vs. cons $23.50B MEDIUM
C Report Net interest income IN-LINE pred ~$16.05B vs. cons $15.93B MEDIUM
C Guide Net interest income growth excluding Markets LOWER guide ~5.5% vs. cons 6.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
C Guide Efficiency ratio LOWER guide ~60.0% vs. cons 59.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
C Guide Return on tangible common equity LOWER guide ~10.5% vs. cons 11.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
C Guide U.S. credit-card net credit loss rate UNCHANGED guide ~4.25% vs. cons 4.25% (FY2026) HIGH
C Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.7% LOW
C Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.6% (FADE) A modest revenue and EPS beat supports the initial reaction, but FY2026 NII growth of ~5.5% versus 6.0% consensus and an efficiency ratio of ~60.0% versus 59.5% consensus imply weaker second-half operating leverage. Those out-period revisions should pull estimates lower after the headline beat. MEDIUM