C Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
C Report EPS BEAT pred ~$2.83 vs. cons $2.72 MEDIUM
C Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$23.90B vs. cons $23.50B MEDIUM
C Report FICC trading revenue BEAT pred ~$4.65B vs. cons $4.48B MEDIUM
C Guide Net interest income ex-Markets growth UNCHANGED guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.5% (FY2026) HIGH
C Guide Efficiency ratio UNCHANGED guide ~60.0% vs. cons 60.0% (FY2026) HIGH
C Guide RoTCE UNCHANGED guide ~10.5% vs. cons 10.5% (FY2026) HIGH
C Guide U.S. card net charge-off rate UNCHANGED guide ~4.25% vs. cons 4.25% (FY2026) MEDIUM
C Guide Common-share repurchases BETTER guide ~$12.0B vs. cons $10.0B (2H2026) MEDIUM
C Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
C Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.6% (FADE) A ~$0.11 EPS beat versus $2.72 consensus and ~$0.40B revenue beat versus $23.50B should produce an initial positive reaction, but unchanged ~5.5% NII ex-Markets growth and ~60.0% efficiency guidance leave FY2026/FY2027 estimate math largely intact after a stock that is already up ~21% YTD. MEDIUM