ELV Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-15

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ELV Report Adj. Diluted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$6.45 vs. cons $6.18 MEDIUM
ELV Report Health MLR (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~89.4% vs. cons ~89.9% MEDIUM
ELV Report Total Revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$48.6B vs. cons $48.82B MEDIUM
ELV Guide FY 2026 Adj. EPS (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$27.25-$27.50 vs. cons ~$26.86 MEDIUM
ELV Guide FY 2026 Health MLR (FY 2026) UNCHANGED reaffirm ~90.0-90.2% vs. cons ~90.2% HIGH
ELV Guide CMS Sanctions (qualitative) UNCHANGED confirm compliance steps completed; no new accrual [call: UNCHANGED / POSITIVE] MEDIUM
ELV Guide 2027 EPS growth commentary UNCHANGED reaffirm >=12% growth; baseline rises with FY26 raise [call: UNCHANGED to BETTER] MEDIUM
ELV Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
ELV Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH - driven by estimate revisions on raised FY guide and higher 2027 baseline; CMS resolution removes tail risk and supports multiple expansion MEDIUM