FAST Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
FAST Report Daily sales growth BEAT pred ~11.2% vs. cons 9.8% MEDIUM
FAST Report Gross margin MISS pred ~44.3% vs. cons 44.8% HIGH
FAST Report Diluted EPS MISS pred ~$0.30 vs. cons $0.31 MEDIUM
FAST Guide Price/cost and gross-margin trajectory LOWER guide ~-20 bp price/cost headwind vs. cons ~0 bp (3Q26) MEDIUM
FAST Guide FY26 incremental operating-margin commentary LOWER guide ~27% incremental operating margin vs. cons 28% (FY26) MEDIUM
FAST Guide FY26 net capital expenditures UNCHANGED guide ~$320M vs. cons $320M (FY26) HIGH
FAST Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.5% MEDIUM
FAST Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) The sales beat is likely to be outweighed by a ~50 bp gross-margin miss and a ~1 percentage-point reduction in implied FY26 incremental-margin expectations; out-period EPS revisions should move lower even if reported sales exceed consensus. MEDIUM