FITB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-17

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
FITB Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.00 vs. cons $0.97 MEDIUM
FITB Report FTE net interest income IN-LINE pred ~$2.24B vs. cons $2.23B MEDIUM
FITB Report Adjusted noninterest expense BEAT pred ~$1.86B vs. cons $1.88B HIGH
FITB Guide FY26 FTE net interest income UNCHANGED guide ~$8.78B vs. cons $8.78B (FY26) MEDIUM
FITB Guide FY26 adjusted noninterest expense BETTER guide ~$7.20B vs. cons $7.24B (FY26) MEDIUM
FITB Guide FY26 net charge-off ratio BETTER guide ~32 bps vs. cons 34 bps (FY26) MEDIUM
FITB Guide Annualized Comerica cost-synergy run rate UNCHANGED guide ~$850M vs. cons $850M (4Q26) HIGH
FITB Guide Comerica systems conversion readiness UNCHANGED guide ~100% on-time readiness vs. cons 100% (3Q26) MEDIUM
FITB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
FITB Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A modest EPS/expense beat and better credit should produce an initial positive reaction, but management has already preannounced low-end expenses, low-end charge-offs, and slightly better PPNR. With FY26 NII and synergy targets likely reiterated rather than raised, out-period EPS revisions should be limited; the post-print gain likely fades as investors await the Labor Day conversion and 4Q26 synergy unlock. MEDIUM