GE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-16

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GE Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.93 vs. cons $1.86 HIGH
GE Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$12.0B vs. cons $11.8B MEDIUM
GE Report Total operating profit margin IN-LINE pred ~22.2% vs. cons ~22% MEDIUM
GE Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$7.10–7.40 vs. cons ~$7.40 (FY2026) MEDIUM
GE Guide FY2026 operating profit guide UNCHANGED guide ~$9.85–10.25B vs. cons ~$10.2B (FY2026) MEDIUM
GE Guide FY2026 free cash flow guide UNCHANGED guide ~$8.0–8.4B vs. cons ~$8.35B (FY2026) MEDIUM
GE Guide 2H26 CES services growth / departures macro assumption LOWER guide ~flat-to-low-single-digit departures vs. cons ~low-single-digit growth (2H26) LOW
GE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
GE Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Q2 is pre-sold/de-risked so a headline beat (~$1.93 vs $1.86) is largely discounted at ~48x 2027 EPS after the ~$275→$378 run. Holding FY guide while beating Q2 by another ~$300M implies an unspoken 2H cut, and management declines to raise (or trims the high-end lean) because the worsening U.S.–Iran/oil shock — Brent ~$85, Goldman flagging >$110 in Q4 — directly contradicts the embedded 'oil declines by year-end, no recession, LSD departures' assumptions. Out-period math + macro caution pull estimates and departures/retirement risk lower even after the beat, so an initial 'sell-the-news' dip follows through as sell-side trims 2H/2027 numbers; only strong Farnborough/defense book-to-bill orders cushion it. MEDIUM