GE Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-16

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GE Report Adjusted Revenue (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$12.0B vs. cons $11.8B HIGH
GE Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$1.94 vs. cons $1.86 HIGH
GE Report Segment Operating Profit Margin (Q2'26) IN-LINE pred ~22.2% vs. cons ~22.0% MEDIUM
GE Guide FY26 Adjusted EPS guide UNCHANGED guide ~$7.10-7.40 (reaffirmed, midpoint ~$7.25) vs. cons ~$7.28 (FY26) MEDIUM
GE Guide FY26 Operating Profit guide LOWER guide ~$9.85-10.25B trending mid-point (~$10.0B) vs. cons ~$10.15B embedding high-end (FY26) MEDIUM
GE Guide 2H26 Departures/Oil assumption tone LOWER guide ~flat-to-down-low-single-digit full-year departures (softening from prior flat/LSD-growth) vs. cons still modeling flat-to-slightly-positive (2H26) MEDIUM
GE Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
GE Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FADE) Q2 print itself likely beats on revenue/EPS given 95%+ pre-booked spare parts and all shop visits, but management's Q1 'would have raised' credibility sets a bar that a mere reaffirm (not a raise) will disappoint at a ~48x 2027 EPS multiple. Fresh Iran/oil escalation (Brent to $85+, risk of $110+) forces cautious 2H26/departures language rather than the prior high-end-trending confidence, so sell-side models likely trim implicit 2H26/2027 assumptions (departures, Middle East mix, DPT margin ramp) even after a Q2 beat — a classic 'good quarter, bad quality of guide' setup that fades initial enthusiasm over the following days as analysts publish updated estimates. MEDIUM