{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted revenue (2026Q2)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$12.10B vs. cons $11.90B",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EPS (2026Q2)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.94 vs. cons $1.86",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Commercial services revenue growth (2026Q2)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~20.5% vs. cons 18.0%",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EPS",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$7.60 vs. cons $7.48 (FY2026 midpoint)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Operating profit",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$10.35B vs. cons $10.25B (FY2026 midpoint)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Free cash flow",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$8.50B vs. cons $8.40B (FY2026 midpoint)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Commercial services revenue growth",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~18.0% vs. cons 17.0% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 2.4,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 1.0,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "The FY2026 EPS guide midpoint of ~$7.60 vs. consensus $7.48 implies second-half EPS of only ~$3.81 after predicted first-half EPS of ~$3.80, so limited out-period estimate revisions and the elevated valuation should cause part of the initial beat-driven gain to fade.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}