GS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GS Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$14.70 vs. cons $14.15 MEDIUM
GS Report Equities revenue BEAT pred ~$5.05B vs. cons $4.90B MEDIUM
GS Report Investment-banking fees BEAT pred ~$2.84B vs. cons $2.75B MEDIUM
GS Guide Investment-banking backlog index BETTER guide ~103 vs. cons 100 (2H26) MEDIUM
GS Guide Efficiency ratio BETTER guide ~60.0% vs. cons 60.5% (FY26) MEDIUM
GS Guide Effective tax rate UNCHANGED guide ~20.0% vs. cons 20.0% (FY26) HIGH
GS Guide Long-term fee-based net inflow rate UNCHANGED guide ~5.0% vs. cons 5.0% (FY26) MEDIUM
GS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.1% MEDIUM
GS Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.3% (FADE) The predicted EPS beat is ~3.9% versus consensus, but an unchanged ~20% tax-rate outlook and limited out-period operating-target changes imply only ~1% upward FY26–FY27 estimate revisions; the initial relief rally should therefore partially fade. MEDIUM