GS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
GS Report Total revenue BEAT pred ~$16.45B vs. cons $16.04B MEDIUM
GS Report Investment-banking fees BEAT pred ~$2.91B vs. cons $2.75B MEDIUM
GS Report Equities revenue MISS pred ~$4.83B vs. cons $4.90B LOW
GS Guide Investment-banking backlog / 2H26 fee outlook BETTER guide ~4% y/y fee-growth outlook vs. cons 3% y/y (2H26) MEDIUM
GS Guide Equities-financing growth outlook BETTER guide ~20% y/y financing-revenue growth vs. cons 15% y/y (2H26) MEDIUM
GS Guide Asset & Wealth Management private-banking / lending revenue outlook LOWER guide ~6% y/y durable-revenue growth vs. cons 8% y/y (2H26) MEDIUM
GS Guide Capital return / common-stock repurchases UNCHANGED guide ~$4.5B quarterly repurchases vs. cons $4.5B (3Q26) MEDIUM
GS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
GS Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) A ~$16.45B revenue print versus $16.04B consensus and stronger banking fees should clear the headline hurdle, but an Equities miss of ~$4.83B versus $4.90B and still-elevated valuation/positioning limit estimate-revision upside. Better banking and financing commentary supports maintained out-period estimates rather than a material upward reset. MEDIUM