ISRG Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-16

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ISRG Report Q2 2026 Revenue BEAT pred ~$2.87B vs. cons ~$2.815B MEDIUM
ISRG Report Q2 2026 Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$2.62 vs. cons ~$2.49 MEDIUM
ISRG Report Q2 2026 da Vinci Procedure Growth (YoY) BEAT pred ~15.0% vs. cons ~14.0% MEDIUM
ISRG Guide FY2026 da Vinci Procedure Growth Guidance BETTER guide ~14.5%-16.5% vs. cons ~13.5%-15.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ISRG Guide FY2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~67.5%-68.5% vs. cons ~67.5%-68.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
ISRG Guide FY2026 Tariff Cost Impact Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~100bps vs. cons ~100bps (FY2026) LOW
ISRG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.5% MEDIUM
ISRG Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.2% (FADE) Beat-and-modest-raise triggers a sharp relief rally off deeply oversold, sentiment-driven levels (stock down >30% from highs), but the raise likely falls short of fully resolving the structural overhangs (China reimbursement clarity pushed to 2027, 2H tariff/input cost inflation still flagged, recall remediation costs still unquantified). As sell-side models roll forward, implicit 2H27 margin and China-growth assumptions get trimmed even after the Q2 beat, causing part of the initial pop to fade over the following days rather than fully follow through. LOW