JPM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
JPM Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$5.75 vs. cons $5.61 MEDIUM
JPM Report Markets revenue BEAT pred ~$10.25B vs. cons $10.00B MEDIUM
JPM Report Net interest income IN-LINE pred ~$25.75B vs. cons $25.60B MEDIUM
JPM Guide Net interest income excluding Markets BETTER guide ~$95.5B vs. cons $95.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
JPM Guide Adjusted expenses LOWER guide ~$106.5B vs. cons $106.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
JPM Guide Card net charge-off rate UNCHANGED guide ~3.4% vs. cons 3.4% (FY2026) HIGH
JPM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.3% MEDIUM
JPM Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.8% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Elevated buy-side expectations limit credit for the trading beat; higher expenses offset the modest NII upgrade, leaving 2026–2027 EPS revisions near ~0% versus ~2% headline EPS upside and encouraging continued de-risking after day 1. MEDIUM