JPM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
JPM Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$5.77 vs. cons $5.61 MEDIUM
JPM Report Managed revenue BEAT pred ~$50.2B vs. cons $49.5B MEDIUM
JPM Report Markets revenue BEAT pred ~$11.9B vs. cons $11.6B MEDIUM
JPM Guide Net interest income excluding Markets UNCHANGED guide ~$95.0B vs. cons $95.0B (FY2026) HIGH
JPM Guide Adjusted expenses UNCHANGED guide ~$106.0B vs. cons $106.0B (FY2026) HIGH
JPM Guide Card Services net charge-off rate LOWER guide ~3.3% vs. cons 3.4% (FY2026) MEDIUM
JPM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.7% LOW
JPM Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.8% (FADE) A ~2.9% EPS beat versus consensus is likely offset by FY2026 ex-Markets NII guidance of ~$95.0B versus ~$95.0B consensus and expense guidance of ~$106.0B versus ~$106.0B consensus; the lack of durable out-period revenue upside leaves forward EPS revisions near flat-to-down after a trading-led beat. MEDIUM