JPM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-14

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
JPM Report Total Markets Revenue (FICC + Equities) BEAT pred ~$10.7B vs. cons $10.28B MEDIUM
JPM Report Investment Banking Fees BEAT pred ~$2.90B vs. cons $2.85B MEDIUM
JPM Report NII ex-Markets IN-LINE pred ~$23.8B vs. cons $23.73B HIGH
JPM Guide NII ex-Markets FY2026 (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$95B vs. cons $95.68B HIGH
JPM Guide Adjusted Expenses FY2026 (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$106B vs. cons $106.17B HIGH
JPM Guide Card NCO Rate FY2026 (FY2026) BETTER guide ~3.4% vs. cons 3.50% MEDIUM
JPM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.5% MEDIUM
JPM Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — H2 estimates revised up modestly as FY guide math forces Q3/Q4 higher; stock already at 52-week highs limits upside MEDIUM