MS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-15

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MS Report Equities Trading Revenue BEAT pred ~$5,100M vs. cons $4,616M HIGH
MS Report Investment Banking Revenue (IS) BEAT pred ~$2,400M vs. cons $2,200M HIGH
MS Report WM NII IN-LINE pred ~$2,200M vs. cons $2,193M HIGH
MS Guide WM NII trajectory (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~$2,230M vs. cons $2,193M MEDIUM
MS Guide WM Pre-Tax Margin (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide reiterate 30% vs. cons ~30% HIGH
MS Guide IB Pipeline tone (H2 2026) BETTER upgrade from steady to building/accelerating vs. cons qualitative MEDIUM
MS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
MS Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — FY estimate revisions provide buying support but compressed by stretched setup MEDIUM