MTB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-15

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
MTB Report Net Interest Income (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,800M vs. cons $1,780M MEDIUM
MTB Report Total Noninterest Income / Fees (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$710M vs. cons $681M HIGH
MTB Report Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$4.85 vs. cons $4.68 MEDIUM
MTB Guide FY 2026 NII (full year) BETTER guide ~$7.325B midpoint vs. cons $7,174M MEDIUM
MTB Guide FY 2026 Fee Income (full year) BETTER guide ~$2.85B midpoint vs. cons $2,785M MEDIUM
MTB Guide CRE Loan Growth (qualitative) BETTER confirm Q2 net CRE growth on avg basis vs. prior bottom-half NII trajectory MEDIUM
MTB Guide NIM Trajectory (qualitative) BETTER guide to mid-to-high 3.70s exiting 2026 vs. cons 3.68% MEDIUM
MTB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
MTB Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side NII estimate upgrades sustain the move as Q3/Q4 NII estimates are revised up MEDIUM