PLD Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-16

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PLD Report Core FFO per share (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.55 vs. cons $1.53 MEDIUM
PLD Report Total revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.19B vs. cons $2.16B MEDIUM
PLD Report Cash same-store NOI growth (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~7.0% vs. cons ~6.6% (midpoint of prior 6.25-7.0% guide) MEDIUM
PLD Guide FY2026 Core FFO guidance BETTER guide ~$6.15-6.31 vs. cons ~$6.18 (FY2026, raised from $6.07-6.23) MEDIUM
PLD Guide FY2026 average occupancy guidance BETTER guide ~95.25-96.0% vs. cons ~95.4% (FY2026, raised from 95.0-95.75%) MEDIUM
PLD Guide FY2026 development starts guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$3.5-4.5B vs. cons ~$4.0B (FY2026, unchanged, ~40% data centers) MEDIUM
PLD Guide Segro takeover outcome (PUSU deadline commentary) UNKNOWN guide ~925p/£12.6B unchanged offer vs. cons expectation of a ~10-15% bump to ~£14-14.5B (by PUSU deadline 07-22-2026) LOW
PLD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.7% MEDIUM
PLD Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.5% (FADE) The UK Takeover Panel PUSU deadline (July 22) falls inside the 5-day window after this July 16 print, so the earnings-driven reaction is likely to be overwhelmed/faded by the Segro news: a firm all-share bid raises dilution/leverage concerns (Segro holders would get ~10.5% of pro forma PLD) while a walk-away removes the data-center consolidation premium some investors had priced in, and estimate revisions on the FFO beat/raise alone are unlikely to offset that binary event risk. LOW