PNC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-15

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PNC Report EPS (adjusted) BEAT pred ~$4.58 vs. cons $4.51 MEDIUM
PNC Report Net interest income BEAT pred ~$3.82B vs. cons $3.77B MEDIUM
PNC Report Net interest margin (NIM) BEAT pred ~2.99% vs. cons 2.96% MEDIUM
PNC Guide FY2026 NII growth UNCHANGED guide ~+14.5% vs. cons ~+14% (FY2026) MEDIUM
PNC Guide FY2026 total revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~+11% vs. cons ~+11% (FY2026) MEDIUM
PNC Guide H2 2026 NIM trajectory BETTER guide >3.0% vs. cons ~2.99% (H2 2026) MEDIUM
PNC Guide Q3 NII (sequential) UNCHANGED guide ~+2% vs. cons ~+2% (Q3 2026) LOW
PNC Guide Net charge-offs / credit (NDFI reassurance) UNCHANGED guide NCO ~$225M vs. cons ~$230M (Q2 2026) MEDIUM
PNC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.8% MEDIUM
PNC Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.8% (FADE) A clean beat plus reaffirmed (not meaningfully raised) FY guide is largely priced in with the stock up ~18% since the Q1 print and near record highs. Out-period math is a modest positive but not enough to trigger big upward EPS revisions; expansion-market/CRE growth is durable but incremental. With positioning extended and the sector technically stretched, the beat likely draws profit-taking/sell-the-news, so the initial muted-to-negative residual continues to bleed lower over the week rather than reverse. LOW