PNC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-15

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
PNC Report EPS BEAT pred ~$4.65 vs. cons $4.48 MEDIUM
PNC Report Total Revenue BEAT pred ~$6.55B vs. cons $6.45B MEDIUM
PNC Report Net Interest Income BEAT pred ~$3.60B vs. cons $3.55B MEDIUM
PNC Guide Q3 2026 Net Interest Margin guidance BETTER guide ~3.02% vs. cons ~2.98% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
PNC Guide FY2026 Net Interest Income growth guide BETTER guide ~15% vs. cons ~14.5% (FY2026) LOW
PNC Guide Q3 2026 Net charge-offs guide BETTER guide ~$220M vs. cons ~$235M (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
PNC Guide FY2026 average loan growth guide UNCHANGED guide ~11% vs. cons ~11% (FY2026) LOW
PNC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.0% MEDIUM
PNC Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FADE) Stock has already rallied ~20% into the print on peer-driven bank optimism and multiple sell-side target hikes, so a quarter that merely hits PNC's own detailed Q2 guidance (loans +2-3%, NII +3%, revenue +3.5%) is largely priced in; even with a modest EPS/revenue beat, the setup favors 'sell-the-news' as investors rotate to assess out-period math—NIM's push toward 3%+ is already expected, FirstBank integration costs (~$150-175M remaining in H2) and NDFI/private-credit headline risk linger, and full-year guide reiteration (rather than a raise) would leave estimate revisions flat-to-down, pulling the stock back from its highs over the following days. MEDIUM