RF Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-17

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
RF Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.66 vs. cons $0.64 MEDIUM
RF Report Net interest income IN-LINE pred ~$1.282B vs. cons $1.273B MEDIUM
RF Report Adjusted noninterest income BEAT pred ~$665M vs. cons $656.5M LOW
RF Guide Net interest income growth BETTER guide ~3.5% vs. cons 3.4% (FY2026) MEDIUM
RF Guide Average loan growth BETTER guide ~3.0% vs. cons 2.5% (FY2026) LOW
RF Guide Net charge-off ratio BETTER guide ~45 bps vs. cons 47 bps (FY2026) MEDIUM
RF Guide Adjusted noninterest expense growth UNCHANGED guide ~2.5% vs. cons 2.6% (FY2026) MEDIUM
RF Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.3% LOW
RF Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.6% (FADE) Q2 adjusted EPS of ~$0.66 vs. $0.64 consensus should initially support the shares, but NII of ~$1.282B vs. $1.273B consensus is only in-line and FY2026 NII growth of ~3.5% vs. 3.4% consensus implies limited out-period estimate revisions after the pre-earnings rally. LOW