UAL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-16

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
UAL Report 2Q26 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.99 vs. cons $1.85 HIGH
UAL Report 2Q26 total operating revenue IN-LINE pred ~$17.67B vs. cons $17.58B MEDIUM
UAL Report 2Q26 TRASM growth BEAT pred ~12.1% vs. cons 10.9% MEDIUM
UAL Guide 3Q26 adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$3.00 vs. cons $3.62 (3Q26) HIGH
UAL Guide FY26 adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$10.00 vs. cons $10.50 (FY26) HIGH
UAL Guide 3Q26 TRASM growth BETTER guide ~12.2% vs. cons 9.5% (3Q26) MEDIUM
UAL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.8% MEDIUM
UAL Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH: 3Q EPS guide ~$3.00 vs. cons $3.62 and FY26 midpoint ~$10.00 vs. cons $10.50 imply estimate cuts despite the 2Q EPS beat. MEDIUM