UAL Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-16

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
UAL Report Adj. EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.90 vs. cons $1.896 HIGH
UAL Report TRASM (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~20.25c vs. cons 20.31c HIGH
UAL Report CASM-ex (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~13.12c vs. cons 13.25c HIGH
UAL Guide Adj. EPS (Q3 2026) LOWER guide $2.50-$3.50 ($3.00 mid) vs. cons $3.65 HIGH
UAL Guide Adj. EPS (FY 2026) BETTER guide $9.00-$11.00 raised; above high end if fuel normalizes vs. cons $10.70 MEDIUM
UAL Guide TRASM trajectory (Q3 & Q4 2026) BETTER guide >12.1% YoY in Q3 and Q4 vs. Q3 cons ~13.5% implied MEDIUM
UAL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% MEDIUM
UAL Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE - initial sell-off on Q3 guide miss, partial recovery as FY math and TRASM acceleration absorbed MEDIUM