UNH Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-16

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
UNH Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$4.94 vs. cons $4.84 MEDIUM
UNH Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$110.9B vs. cons $110.7B MEDIUM
UNH Report Medical care ratio IN-LINE pred ~88.3% vs. cons 88.5% MEDIUM
UNH Guide FY26 adjusted EPS outlook LOWER guide ~$18.30 vs. cons $18.55 (FY26) MEDIUM
UNH Guide 2H26 adjusted EPS implied by FY outlook LOWER guide ~$6.06 vs. cons $6.28 (2H26) MEDIUM
UNH Guide FY26 total medical-membership change UNCHANGED guide ~-1.3M vs. cons -1.3M (FY26) HIGH
UNH Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
UNH Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest $0.10 EPS beat versus consensus is likely outweighed by FY26 guidance near $18.30 versus $18.55 consensus and lower implied 2H EPS of roughly $6.06 versus $6.28; out-period estimate cuts should persist after the initial reaction. MEDIUM