AMP Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AMP Report Adjusted operating EPS BEAT pred ~$11.20 vs. cons $10.63 MEDIUM
AMP Report Advice & Wealth Management wrap net flows MISS pred ~$4.8B vs. cons $5.5B MEDIUM
AMP Report Advice & Wealth Management pretax adjusted operating margin BEAT pred ~29.6% vs. cons 29.2% MEDIUM
AMP Guide Operating effective tax rate UNCHANGED guide ~20%-22% vs. cons 21.0% (FY2026) HIGH
AMP Guide Capital returned as a percentage of operating earnings UNCHANGED guide ~85%-90% vs. cons 87.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
AMP Guide Long-term adjusted EPS growth UNCHANGED guide ~12%-15% vs. cons 13.5% (long term) MEDIUM
AMP Guide Core Advice & Wealth Management organic growth UNCHANGED guide ~4%-5% vs. cons 4.5% (long term) MEDIUM
AMP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.4% MEDIUM
AMP Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.1% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Predicted Q2 EPS of ~$11.20 vs. $10.63 consensus is unlikely to lift out-period estimates materially because wrap flows are predicted at ~$4.8B vs. $5.5B consensus, guidance remains unchanged, and the pre-report rally raises the bar; therefore the predicted day-1 residual of -2.4% extends to a -3.1% five-day residual. MEDIUM