AVB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AVB Report Core FFO per share (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$2.82 vs. cons $2.80 MEDIUM
AVB Report Same-store residential revenue growth (Q2 2026 YoY) BEAT pred ~1.8% vs. cons 1.7% MEDIUM
AVB Report Same-store residential NOI growth (Q2 2026 YoY) MISS pred ~0.1% vs. cons 0.2% MEDIUM
AVB Guide Core FFO per share (FY2026) LOWER guide ~$11.25 vs. cons $11.40 (FY2026) MEDIUM
AVB Guide Same-store residential revenue growth (FY2026) BETTER guide ~1.6% vs. cons 1.5% (FY2026) LOW
AVB Guide Annual net merger operating synergies UNCHANGED guide ~$125M vs. cons $125M (annual run-rate post-close) HIGH
AVB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.5% LOW
AVB Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.8% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) An in-line ~$2.82 Q2 print versus $2.80 consensus would be outweighed by FY2026 Core FFO guidance of ~$11.25 versus $11.40 consensus. That implies roughly $5.60 of second-half Core FFO versus the Street's ~$5.77, prompting modest estimate cuts after the initial report; however, the fixed 2.793-share EQR exchange ratio should limit AVB-specific downside. LOW