AVB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AVB Report Q2 2026 Core FFO per share IN-LINE pred ~$2.80 vs. cons $2.78 MEDIUM
AVB Report Same-store residential revenue growth BEAT pred ~2.3% vs. cons 2.0% MEDIUM
AVB Report Same-store residential NOI growth BEAT pred ~0.9% vs. cons 0.5% LOW
AVB Guide FY 2026 Core FFO per share guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$11.25 vs. cons $11.29 (FY 2026) HIGH
AVB Guide FY 2026 same-store residential revenue growth guidance LOWER guide ~1.4% vs. cons 1.6% (FY 2026) MEDIUM
AVB Guide Q3 2026 Core FFO per share guidance LOWER guide ~$2.82 vs. cons $2.84 (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
AVB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.4% MEDIUM
AVB Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.7% (STABILIZE) A modest operating beat is likely offset by unchanged FY Core FFO guidance (~$11.25 versus ~$11.29 consensus) and slightly softer implied Q3 math (~$2.82 versus ~$2.84). However, the fixed 2.793 EQR-share exchange ratio should limit standalone AVB estimate-revision impact and stabilize the residual move. MEDIUM