AVB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AVB Report Core FFO per Share - Diluted ($) BEAT pred ~$2.84 vs. cons $2.810 MEDIUM
AVB Report Same-Store NOI Growth YoY - Residential (%) BEAT pred ~+0.3% vs. cons -0.05% MEDIUM
AVB Report Same-Store Revenue Growth YoY - Residential (%) BEAT pred ~1.6% vs. cons 1.37% MEDIUM
AVB Guide Full-Year Core FFO per Share (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~$11.35-$11.40 mid vs. cons $11.331 MEDIUM
AVB Guide Same-Store NOI Growth (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~+0.5%-+0.8% mid vs. cons +0.532% MEDIUM
AVB Guide Same-Store Revenue Growth (FY 2026) BETTER guide ~1.6%-1.8% mid vs. cons 1.645% LOW
AVB Guide Q3 2026 Core FFO per Share UNKNOWN guide ~$2.80-$2.86 vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
AVB Guide H2 Blended Rent Commentary BETTER reaffirm 2.5% H2 target; more confident tone MEDIUM
AVB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
AVB Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — partial; merger arb cap limits estimate revision follow-through; development NOI ramp and FY raise provide a modest bid over 5 days LOW