AXP Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-24

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AXP Report Billed Business ($B) BEAT pred ~$462B vs. cons $455.7B HIGH
AXP Report Net Card Fees ($B) BEAT pred ~$2.97B vs. cons $2.901B MEDIUM
AXP Report Diluted Operating EPS BEAT pred ~$4.45 vs. cons $4.408 MEDIUM
AXP Guide FY 2026 Revenue Growth (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~9%-10% reaffirmed vs. cons $79.60B (+9.8%) HIGH
AXP Guide FY 2026 Operating EPS (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide midpoint ~$17.70 vs. cons $17.59 MEDIUM
AXP Guide Billed Business Trajectory (qualitative, Q3 2026) BETTER guide 'consistent with or slightly above Q2' vs. cons MEDIUM
AXP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
AXP Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FADE) FADE — sell-side trims H2 estimates on implied-out-period math; no catalyst to reverse MEDIUM