BRO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-27

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BRO Report Core Organic Growth ex-contingents (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~+0.3% vs. cons +0.57% MEDIUM
BRO Report Contingent Commissions (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$60M vs. cons $59.6M MEDIUM
BRO Report Adj. EBITDAC Margin (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~33.7% vs. cons 33.9% MEDIUM
BRO Guide FY 2026 Organic Growth (qualitative) UNCHANGED guide reiterate ~2.5% back-half ceiling vs. cons +1.5% FY MEDIUM
BRO Guide FY 2026 Contingent Commissions UNCHANGED guide reiterate 'up vs. $255M' vs. cons $301.6M MEDIUM
BRO Guide Howden / Pharmacy headwinds (qualitative) UNCHANGED guide confirm both persist through Q3; no new disclosures HIGH
BRO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% MEDIUM
BRO Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side trims H2 estimates on unchanged guidance; short base (8.5 DTC) provides partial floor but does not reverse the drift MEDIUM