CB Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CB Report Core Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$6.90 vs. cons $6.736 MEDIUM
CB Report P&C Combined Ratio (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~85.5% vs. cons 85.84% MEDIUM
CB Report Adj. NII — P&C (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,845M total vs. guided $1,825-1,850M HIGH
CB Guide Q3 2026 Adj. NII (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~$1.85-1.875B vs. extrapolated cons MEDIUM
CB Guide FY 2026 EPS qualitative (FY 2026) BETTER guide >$27.27 implied vs. cons $27.07 MEDIUM
CB Guide Property market tone (qualitative) UNCHANGED cautious/unchanged; deliberate shrinkage continues HIGH
CB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
CB Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.5% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — FY guide revisions provide a floor; pre-run limits follow-through ceiling MEDIUM