CHTR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-24

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CHTR Report Residential Internet net additions MISS pred ~-152K vs. cons -142K MEDIUM
CHTR Report Adjusted EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$5.61B vs. cons $5.58B MEDIUM
CHTR Report Free cash flow MISS pred ~$1.06B vs. cons $1.13B LOW
CHTR Guide Adjusted EBITDA growth excluding Cox transition costs LOWER guide ~+0.2% vs. cons +0.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CHTR Guide Capital expenditures UNCHANGED guide ~$11.4B vs. cons $11.4B (FY2026) HIGH
CHTR Guide Cox run-rate operating expense synergies UNCHANGED guide ~$0.8B vs. cons $0.8B (post-close run rate) MEDIUM
CHTR Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -8.0% MEDIUM
CHTR Return 5-day cumulative residual -11.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Broadband losses worse than the -142K bogey and a marginally lower FY2026 EBITDA trajectory should drive cuts to 2026-2027 EBITDA and free-cash-flow estimates. Unchanged ~$11.4B FY2026 capex limits the near-term cash-flow offset, allowing estimate revisions to extend the initial decline. MEDIUM