COF Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
COF Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$4.65 vs. cons $4.53 MEDIUM
COF Report Total net revenue BEAT pred ~$15.90B vs. cons $15.70B MEDIUM
COF Report Domestic Card net charge-off rate BEAT pred ~4.78% vs. cons 4.88% MEDIUM
COF Guide Discover total synergy target UNCHANGED guide ~$2.50B vs. cons $2.50B (mid-2027) HIGH
COF Guide Structural net interest margin commentary BETTER guide ~8.25% vs. cons 8.20% (2H26) MEDIUM
COF Guide Full-year marketing investment outlook LOWER guide ~$7.00B vs. cons $6.70B (FY2026) MEDIUM
COF Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.8% MEDIUM
COF Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A ~2.6% adjusted-EPS beat versus consensus is likely outweighed by a ~$0.30B FY2026 marketing step-up versus consensus, leaving 2027 earnings-power and efficiency assumptions lower despite stable credit and preserved $2.50B Discover synergy framing. MEDIUM