CSX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CSX Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$3.91B vs. cons $3.85B MEDIUM
CSX Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.52 vs. cons $0.51 MEDIUM
CSX Report Adjusted operating ratio IN-LINE pred ~62.6% vs. cons 63.2% MEDIUM
CSX Guide Revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~5.5% vs. cons 5.4% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CSX Guide Operating-margin expansion UNCHANGED guide ~275 bps vs. cons 275 bps (FY2026) MEDIUM
CSX Guide Free-cash-flow growth BETTER guide ~65% vs. cons 62% (FY2026) LOW
CSX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.7% MEDIUM
CSX Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.8% (FADE) A modest EPS and operating-ratio upside should support the initial reaction, but largely unchanged FY2026 revenue and margin expectations imply only limited out-period estimate revisions; elevated valuation and fuel-driven revenue quality should cause part of the day-1 gain to fade. MEDIUM