CSX Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CSX Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$3.90B vs. cons $3.85B MEDIUM
CSX Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.53 vs. cons $0.51 MEDIUM
CSX Report Operating income BEAT pred ~$1.45B vs. cons $1.42B MEDIUM
CSX Guide FY26 revenue growth BETTER guide ~6.0% vs. cons 5.0% (FY26) MEDIUM
CSX Guide FY26 operating-margin expansion BETTER guide ~300 bps vs. cons 250 bps (FY26) MEDIUM
CSX Guide FY26 capital spending BETTER guide ~$2.30B vs. cons $2.35B (FY26) MEDIUM
CSX Guide FY26 free-cash-flow growth BETTER guide ~65% vs. cons 60% (FY26) LOW
CSX Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
CSX Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FY26 operating-margin guide ~300 bps vs. consensus 250 bps and revenue-growth guide ~6.0% vs. consensus 5.0% should lift out-period operating-income and EPS estimates rather than leave the beat as a fuel-only or timing-driven event. MEDIUM