| DECK |
Report |
Q1 FY27 Revenue |
BEAT |
pred ~$1.04B vs. cons $1.02B |
MEDIUM |
| DECK |
Report |
Q1 FY27 Diluted EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$0.93 vs. cons $0.88 |
MEDIUM |
| DECK |
Report |
HOKA net sales growth (YoY) |
MISS |
pred ~+8% vs. cons ~+11% |
LOW |
| DECK |
Guide |
FY27 Revenue guide |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$5.86-5.91B vs. cons ~$5.90B (FY27) |
MEDIUM |
| DECK |
Guide |
FY27 Diluted EPS guide |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$7.30-7.45 vs. cons ~$7.42 (FY27) |
MEDIUM |
| DECK |
Guide |
FY27 Gross margin guide |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~56.5% vs. cons ~56.7% (FY27) |
MEDIUM |
| DECK |
Guide |
Q2 FY27 EPS/revenue framing (implied) |
LOWER |
implied Q2 EPS ~$1.35 vs. cons ~$1.45 (Q2 FY27) |
LOW |
| DECK |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
+4.0% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| DECK |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
+1.5% (FADE) |
Base case is a classic DECK beat-and-maintain: revenue tops ~$1.02B cons and EPS beats the pre-warned $0.82-0.87 guide (cons $0.88), triggering an initial relief pop on a coiled, high-beta name off its lows. But the beat is low-quality — driven partly by buybacks and messy HOKA wholesale-ship timing — while management holds (not raises) the deliberately-reset FY27 framework that embeds H1 margin compression, decelerating HOKA growth, and gross-margin down YoY on tariffs/freight. Out-period math (implied Q2/H2 margin drag) caps upward EPS revisions and pulls back-half estimates down even after the beat, so the day-1 gain partially gives back over the week. Wide distribution given DECK's history of ±15-19% earnings gaps. |
MEDIUM |