DHI Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DHI Report Net sales orders (homes) MISS pred ~23,650 vs. cons 24,100 MEDIUM
DHI Report Home sales gross margin IN-LINE pred ~19.8% vs. cons 19.9% MEDIUM
DHI Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$3.04 vs. cons $2.99 MEDIUM
DHI Guide Homebuilding closings LOWER guide ~25,100 vs. cons 25,600 (FY2026 Q4) MEDIUM
DHI Guide Home sales gross margin LOWER guide ~19.6% vs. cons 19.9% (FY2026 Q4) MEDIUM
DHI Guide Consolidated revenue LOWER guide ~$33.75B vs. cons $33.85B (FY2026) MEDIUM
DHI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.2% MEDIUM
DHI Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.6% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FY2026 revenue guide midpoint of ~$33.75B vs. consensus $33.85B and FY2026 Q4 gross-margin guide of ~19.6% vs. consensus 19.9% imply lower out-period EPS revisions; the order miss should outweigh a buyback-assisted Q3 EPS beat. MEDIUM