DHI Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DHI Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$3.12 vs. cons $3.04 MEDIUM
DHI Report Home-sales gross margin IN-LINE pred ~19.9% vs. cons 19.9% MEDIUM
DHI Report Net sales orders MISS pred ~24,800 homes vs. cons 25,700 homes MEDIUM
DHI Guide FY26 consolidated revenue guidance LOWER guide ~$33.75B vs. cons $34.00B (FY26) MEDIUM
DHI Guide FY26 homebuilding closings guidance LOWER guide ~86,500 homes vs. cons 86,750 homes (FY26) MEDIUM
DHI Guide FY26 operating cash-flow guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$3.00B vs. cons $3.00B (FY26) HIGH
DHI Guide FY26 share-repurchase guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.50B vs. cons $2.50B (FY26) HIGH
DHI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
DHI Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest EPS beat and in-line ~19.9% gross margin are unlikely to offset a ~900-home order miss and a lower FY26 revenue/closing midpoint. The reduced full-year guide implies a softer out-period closing and absorption setup, pulling FY26/FY27 volume and EPS estimates lower even if the reported quarter clears consensus. MEDIUM