DHI Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-21

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DHI Report Home Sales Gross Margin (Q3 FY2026) BEAT pred ~20.1% vs. cons 19.81% MEDIUM
DHI Report Net New Orders (Q3 FY2026) BEAT pred ~25,500 vs. cons 24,129 MEDIUM
DHI Report Homes Delivered / Closings (Q3 FY2026) IN-LINE pred ~23,900 vs. cons 23,778 MEDIUM
DHI Guide FY2026 Revenue (full year) UNCHANGED guide ~$33.5-34.5B vs. cons $33.81B HIGH
DHI Guide FY2026 Closings (full year) UNCHANGED guide ~86,000-87,500 vs. cons 86,698 HIGH
DHI Guide Incentive Trajectory (qualitative) BETTER stable/beginning to ease vs. prior 'remain elevated' language LOW
DHI Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
DHI Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — no estimate upgrade cycle but no cut; setup de-rating limits fade LOW