Let me gather recent news, stock performance, and any developments since the last report.Let me read the key transaction announcements from June/July.I now have a comprehensive picture. Let me compile a few performance stats before writing.Here is the earnings preview.
Report date: Thursday, July 23, 2026 (after market close) · Conference call to follow · NYSE: DLR
DLR heads into 2Q26 riding record 1Q leasing momentum, a raised full-year outlook, and a flurry of large post-quarter M&A that materially reshaped the story. The debate isn't about demand — it's about whether leasing can stay near record levels after a blockbuster Q1, how much dilution the recent deal-making adds, and whether management raises guidance again.
Between the April call and this print, management executed on all three "pillars of growth." These are the swing factors for guidance and the balance sheet:
| Transaction (announced) | Size / structure | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Blackstone NoVa JV buy-in (Jun 29, closed Jun 30) | 64% blended equity stake in 3 fully-leased NoVa data centers, 288 MW; $7.8B gross value; $3.5B consideration ($1.2B cash + $2.3B stock) | 15-yr leases, blended AA- credit, 3.6% escalators; mgmt says accretive to Core FFO in 2027 & 2028. Raises share count. |
| Kansas City land (Jun 22) | ~1,440 acres, ~$475M cash/OP units; ESA for 600MW by early 2028 → 2 GW at full build | New top-30 hyperscale market; extends land bank runway |
| Teraco stake increase (Jun 22) | To 77% (16% stake, ~$650M, mostly 3.4M shares) | Deepens Africa colo/connectivity crown jewel |
| Columbia Capital acquisition (Jun 22) | ~$485M, mostly 2.3M shares; $9B+ fund commitments | Scales the Strategic Private Capital (SPC) / fund-management flywheel |
| $7.5B ATM program (May 4) | New equity shelf | Signals ongoing equity-funded growth |
Key question for the call: management will almost certainly fold the Blackstone deal (and likely the others) into an updated 2026 outlook, quantify accretion timing (2027+ vs. near-term drag), and update the share count. Watch for how much of the recent deal financing is equity vs. debt, and the resulting dilution.
Recall where the bar is after the 1Q beat-and-raise:
Things I'd focus on: 1. Does guidance go up again? The Blackstone deal and FX tailwind (weaker USD vs. the $1.15–1.20 EUR assumption) argue for an upward bias; offsetting that is near-term dilution from stock-funded M&A. A raise would be a positive surprise; a reaffirm with "accretion in 2027" framing is the base case. 2. The sequential Q2 dip — make sure it lands roughly as guided (~$2.00 area) and isn't worse. 3. Net income optics — 2Q25 had a huge one-time gain (~$3.03 EPS from property dispositions); GAAP y/y comparisons will look distorted. Focus on Core FFO.
1Q26 was extraordinary and sets a tough comp: - $707M total bookings / $423M at DLR share — 2nd-highest ever, ~70% above the next-best quarter. - Included the largest lease in company history: a 200 MW AI-inference lease with a AA-rated hyperscaler in Charlotte. - Record 0–1 MW + interconnection: $98M (3rd record in 4 quarters), with AI a record 21% of 0–1 MW bookings; 116 new logos. - Total backlog hit a record $1.8B (100%) / $1.0B (DLR share) — commencements of $544M in 2026, $247M in 2027, $242M in 2028+.
What to watch in 2Q: - >1 MW leasing will likely normalize off the Charlotte-inflated Q1 — don't over-react to a lower headline; watch whether the backlog keeps building and whether they land more large hyperscale/AI deals (they teased priced-but-unleased capacity in NoVa ~275 MW, Dallas, Atlanta, and internationally). - 0–1 MW durability — management set a bar of sustaining/growing this high-margin, interconnection-rich segment (Vikram Malhotra's "$100M run-rate?" question). Continuation here is the higher-quality signal. - Commencement lag — jumped to ~19 months in Q1 due to the phased Charlotte build. Watch whether the sign-to-commence gap normalizes.
DLR's demand narrative — AI inference moving from pilot to production, record interconnection, a swelling backlog — is intact and arguably strengthening. The 2Q print itself will likely show an expected sequential Core FFO dip and lower headline >1 MW leasing off a record Q1; neither should rattle the thesis if the backlog keeps growing and full-year guidance holds or rises.
The real focus is capital allocation and dilution: management just spent billions (heavily in stock) to buy back JV interests, enter Kansas City, and bolt on Columbia/Teraco. The bull case is these deals extend a high-quality, AA-rated, long-lease growth runway and are accretive from 2027. The bear case is near-term FFO dilution and equity issuance at a time when the stock has already lagged EQIX. How management frames guidance, accretion timing, and the funding mix will likely matter more than the quarter's reported numbers.
Note: This preview synthesizes DLR's 1Q26 results/transcript, guidance, June–July 8-K disclosures, and market data through 7/22/26. Figures are company-reported; I did not have access to a formal sell-side consensus, so the discussion is framed against management's own guidance rather than Street estimates.