DOW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DOW Report Operating EBITDA BEAT pred ~$2.34B vs. cons $2.20B MEDIUM
DOW Report Operating EPS BEAT pred ~$1.40 vs. cons $1.26 MEDIUM
DOW Report Net sales BEAT pred ~$12.10B vs. cons $11.95B MEDIUM
DOW Guide Operating EBITDA BETTER guide ~$2.20B vs. cons $1.95B (2026Q3) MEDIUM
DOW Guide Operating EPS BETTER guide ~$1.18 vs. cons $0.93 (2026Q3) MEDIUM
DOW Guide Net sales BETTER guide ~$12.00B vs. cons $11.70B (2026Q3) LOW
DOW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +5.2% MEDIUM
DOW Return 5-day cumulative residual +7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Positive out-period revisions should extend the initial move: predicted 2026Q3 operating EBITDA of ~$2.20B versus consensus of $1.95B implies the Q2 upside carries forward rather than reversing, lifting second-half and 2027 earnings estimates despite turnaround costs and working-capital pressure. MEDIUM