DOW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DOW Report Operating EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2,300M vs. cons $2,206M MEDIUM
DOW Report Net Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$12,200M vs. cons $11,980M MEDIUM
DOW Report Operating EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1.40 vs. cons $1.28 MEDIUM
DOW Guide Operating EBITDA (Q3 2026) LOWER guide ~$2.0-2.1B vs. cons $2,197M MEDIUM
DOW Guide Demand trajectory (H2 2026) LOWER Cautious; pricing moderating from Q2 peak; June wildcard flagged HIGH
DOW Guide T2O cost savings (H2 2026) UNCHANGED Reaffirm $400M H2 ramp HIGH
DOW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.0% MEDIUM
DOW Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — beat quality real but Q3 guide overhang prevents recovery; short covering limits further downside LOW