DOW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-23

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
DOW Report Operating EBITDA BEAT pred ~$2.250B vs. cons $2.206B MEDIUM
DOW Report P&SP operating EBITDA BEAT pred ~$1.950B vs. cons $1.907B MEDIUM
DOW Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$12.050B vs. cons $11.980B MEDIUM
DOW Guide Q3 2026 operating EBITDA LOWER guide ~$1.850B vs. cons $1.910B LOW
DOW Guide Q3 2026 revenue LOWER guide ~$11.200B vs. cons $11.662B LOW
DOW Guide H2 spread/margin commentary UNKNOWN guide moderation vs. no reliable numeric consensus LOW
DOW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -3.0% LOW
DOW Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — lower Q3 out-period math should drive cuts LOW