EQR Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-22

Ticker	Report or Guide	KPI	Prediction	Answer	Confidence
EQR	Report	Normalized FFO/share (Q2 2026)	BEAT	pred ~$1.025 vs. cons $1.012	MEDIUM
EQR	Report	SS Revenue Growth YoY (Q2 2026)	BEAT	pred ~2.45% vs. cons 2.17%	MEDIUM
EQR	Report	Effective Blended Lease Rate (Q2 2026)	MISS	pred ~2.90% vs. cons 3.00%	LOW
EQR	Guide	Normalized FFO/share (Q3 2026)	LOWER	guide ~$1.03-$1.04 vs. cons $1.052	MEDIUM
EQR	Guide	FY 2026 Normalized FFO/share	UNCHANGED	guide $4.02-$4.14 maintained vs. cons $4.087	MEDIUM
EQR	Guide	FY 2026 SS Revenue Growth	UNCHANGED	guide 1.2%-3.2% maintained vs. cons 2.31%	MEDIUM
EQR	Return	Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500)	-1.0%	—	MEDIUM
EQR	Return	5-day cumulative residual	-2.5% (FADE)	FADE — implicit H2 cut drives sell-side estimate revisions lower; merger overhang persists	MEDIUM