{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EPS (Q2'26)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$0.45 vs. cons $0.41",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Total sales volume (Bcfe, Q2'26)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~610 Bcfe vs. cons ~595 Bcfe",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Revenue (Q2'26)",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.78B vs. cons $1.84B",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 total sales volume guide",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~2,340 Bcfe vs. cons ~2,325 Bcfe (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 total capex guide (maint+growth)",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~$2,720M vs. cons ~$2,790M (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Net-debt trajectory vs $5.0B target",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "net debt ~$5.2B vs. $5.0B target (YE2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Appalachian power/data-center supply deals",
      "prediction": "UNKNOWN",
      "answer": "pipeline ~3+ Bcf/d vs. 0 signed to date (H2 2026)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 avg differential guide",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~($0.45)/Mcf vs. cons ~($0.45)/Mcf (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 1.5,
  "day1_confidence": "LOW",
  "day5_residual_pct": -1.0,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "Estimates were slashed into the print (Zacks cut Q2 to ~$0.40 from $0.67; 6 downward vs 1 upward revision in 30 days; FY cut to ~$4.43), so a Q2 volume/cost beat vs a very low bar plus oversold positioning (-28% off March high) supports a modest relief pop on day 1. But out-period math dominates day 5: the weak forward Henry Hub/Appalachian gas curve and softer-by-design H2 realizations keep FY2026/2027 estimates drifting lower, and absent a concrete signed data-center/power supply deal the growth narrative can't offset it \u2014 so the initial bounce fades as revisions grind down.",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}